Mexico Breaks U.S. Streak: What Happened and What’s Next in Liga MX
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The international break brought some respect back to the National Team. Mexico ended a seven-game winless streak against the U.S. in Guadalajara, with Raúl Jiménez netting a BANGER of a free-kick in the 22nd minute and assisting César Huerta’s second-half goal. The U.S., under new coach Mauricio Pochettino, struggled to generate chances, resulting in his first defeat at the helm.
Turning to Liga MX action, let’s recap what happened in Jornada 11. The Clásico Tapatío between Guadalajara and Atlas was a standout, with Atlas pulling off a 3-2 win despite Guadalajara dominating possession and creating more chances. León and Club América played out a 1-1 draw, where América controlled possession, but León's defensive resilience held strong. Toluca and Pumas UNAM also settled for a 1-1 draw, while Juárez shocked Santos Laguna with a 2-0 road victory. This round highlighted how decisive finishing and defensive resilience often outweigh possession stats in Mexico's top flight.
In Jornada 12, top teams like Cruz Azul, Tigres UANL, and Monterrey will look to solidify their positions in key matchups. Monterrey vs Tigres UANL stands out as a crucial battle between two top-four teams, while Pumas UNAM vs San Luis will see two Liguilla hopefuls face off. Atlas vs Mazatlán and Pachuca vs Guadalajara also promise excitement, with teams aiming to break into the top half. Every point counts this part of the season!
As always, the CABRA boys have your best bets lined up for the weekend below!
No meme this week…this GOAT deserves his own space. Thank you for everything, El Principito.
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WATCH:
LOCK of the WEEK:
Toluca vs Querétaro
Friday, 6 pm PST
Low-Scoring Trends Point to Under 2.5 Goals
When analyzing Querétaro’s recent form and Toluca’s away performance, betting on Under 2.5 goals looks like the most reliable option for their upcoming match. Querétaro has kept three clean sheets in their last five games, showing defensive strength, while only two of those matches saw both teams score. Toluca, meanwhile, has struggled away from home, averaging just 1.00 goals per game and winning only 20% of their road games.
Querétaro’s matches have also been low-scoring, averaging 1.90 goals per match, with only 30% of their games going over 2.5 goals. This is significantly lower than the Liga MX average of 50%, and their BTTS (Both Teams to Score) rate stands at just 40%. Toluca’s inability to find the net frequently away from home complements this low-scoring trend.
Given these factors, both Querétaro’s defensive solidity and Toluca's weak away attack suggest that Under 2.5 goals is the strongest betting pick for this match. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair where goals will likely be at a premium.
Compa Garrett’s Pick: Toluca/Querétaro Under 2.5 Goals (+120, 2 Units)
6-0, +11.4 units
¡Más predicciones!
Andre’s Lock of the Week: Tigres/Monterrey Both To Score + No Draw (+140, 2 Units)
Hat Trick Chris’ Lock of the Week: Pumas to Win (-155, 3 Units)
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BetLigaMX’s Lock of the Week: Necaxa/Tijuana Both To Score + Over 2.5 (-111, 2 Units)
Fredo’s Lock of the Week: Tigres/Monterrey Both Teams to Score (-170, 1 Unit)
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