Jornada 7: Are We Hyped for the Clásico Nacional or Nah?
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After the international break, we’re back with Jornada 7! Mexico took care of business against New Zealand but followed it up with a lackluster draw against Canada. It's still early in Aguirre’s tenure, so I’m not overly excited or concerned by these results. However, the real test will come in October when Mexico faces the US, especially if both sides bring their starters. That match will be crucial, not just for the rivalry but also because it’s happening in Guadalajara—we’ve got to show out!
Jornada 7 brings us the highly anticipated Clásico Nacional, but honestly, the hype feels a little muted this year. Maybe it’s because América is still recovering from their championship hangover and hasn’t been playing at their best? Whatever the reason, there are few things better in Mexican football than seeing these two titans clash under the Saturday night lights. Actually, you know what might be the bigger game—Mazatlán vs. Juárez! (Just kidding.) Other exciting matches include Santos traveling to Monterrey, a 3rd vs. 4th place showdown between Toluca and Xolos, and another chance for Cruz Azul to keep their foot on the gas and solidify their top spot.
As always, the CABRA boys have you covered with some solid bets to lock in for the weekend!
GRADING MEXICO'S FIRST MATCHES WITH JAVIER AGUIRRE
WATCH:
Compa Garrett’s LOCK of the WEEK:
Atlas vs Pachuca
Friday, 6 pm PST
Atlas Looks to Capitalize on Pachuca’s Struggles
Alright compas, it’s clear that Atlas holds an advantage based on current form, but let’s dive into some other metrics. Atlas is 8th in the standings, with only one loss this season, while Pachuca lags in 14th, having suffered three defeats. Pachuca's recent away form has been particularly poor, with two losses and one draw in their last three games on the road—making them one of the weakest away sides in the league. In contrast, Atlas has been strong at home, winning two and drawing one of their last three matches at Estadio Jalisco.
Atlas's superiority is further backed by xG (expected goals) metrics. Atlas averages an xG of 1.41 at home, compared to Pachuca's 1.13 on the road, reinforcing the home team's edge in offensive production. Moreover, home teams have performed 43% better this season, which makes Atlas's home advantage even more significant.
Given these factors, a "draw no bet" on Atlas is a smart option. With Atlas showing consistent form and Pachuca struggling on the road, the home side is well-positioned to avoid defeat, while the "draw no bet" option offers some security if the match ends in a draw.
Compa Garrett: Atlas, Draw No Bet (-135, 2 Units)
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¡Más predicciones!
Andre’s Lock of the Week: America/Chivas to Draw (+240, 1 Unit)
Hat Trick Chris’ Lock of the Week: Mazatlan +0.5 vs Juarez (-145, 2 Units)
@BetLigaMX’s Lock of the Week: Santos/Monterrey Over 2.5 Goals (-140, 2 Units)
Fredo’s Lock of the Week: Toluca/Tijuana Over 3.0 Goals (-125, 3 Units)
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THE COMPAS COMMUNITY IS LIVE ON DISCORD!
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